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Wednesday, December 16, 2009

12/16 Morningline

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4 percent, a fraction of the Producer Price Index's 1.8 percent rise announced on Tuesday. So, we can all refrain from a full-scale inflation panic for at least another month.
The Federal Open Market Committee will make their statement on rates and the economy at 2:15 p.m. Eastern (11:15 a.m. Pacific).

December options expire on Friday, which is a Quadruple Witching day,  sort of a speculators' Halloween. Be sure to lay on a supply of candy for any frazzled traders that come trick-or-treating at your door on Friday.

No new signals on the things I look at.

The indicators:

  • Blue chips (SPY) opens the day at 111.8, entered bear mode at close on Dec. 14 (at 111.87), barely changed from yesterday
  • Fear index (VIX), 21.5 , bear, Dec. 11 (21.59), falling
  • Treasury long bonds (TLT), 91.93, bear, Dec. 1 (95.25), at the top of yesterday's trading range.
  • Gold (GLD) 110.83, bear, Dec. 4 (113.75), rising
  • Oil (USO), 36.08 , bear, Dec. 4 (38.33), rising

Currency pairs:
  • Dollars per euro (EUR/USD) 1.45, bear, Dec. 4 (1.49), rising and within yesterday's trading range
  • Yen per dollar (USD/JPY) 89.6, bear, Dec. 9 (87.86), at the top of yesterday's range.
Holdings, December expiry:

  • UNG covered call (-c9), 10.22, bull, Dec. 7 (9.22), at the top of yesterday's range
Holdings, January expiry

  • AET bull put spread (p31/-p32), 33.54, bull, Dec. 8 (30.47), slight gap up and rising
  • HPQ bull put spread (p49/-p50), 50.9, bull, Dec. 9 (49.95), at the top of yesterday's range
  • KO iron condor (p50/-p52.5/-c57.5/c60), 58.95, bull, Dec. 1 (58.08), within yesterday's range (and 1.20 above max profit at expiry)
  • X bear call spread (-c40/c41), 48.95, bull, Dec. 9 (46.74), at the top of yesterday's range
  • VALE bull put spread (p30/-p31), 29.04, bull, Dec. 14 (29.20), within yesterday's range
(Signals derived using Person's Proprietary Signal applied to daily charts.)

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All content copyright 2009-2010 by Timothy K. Bovee. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer

Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.

No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades.
Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decision decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.